{
  "build": {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "version": "2.0-final"
  },
  "baseline": {
    "nowcast2026": 23266.64569126348,
    "fiveYearCentral": 116333.22845631739,
    "fiveYearLow": 95927.10900802488,
    "fiveYearHigh": 136739.34790460987,
    "historicalCV": 0.17541092703324143,
    "median2016_2025": 25670.0
  },
  "constants": {
    "detachedStructureProxy": 1617366.0,
    "twoPlusShare2021_2025": 0.46320935167727995,
    "metroMultifamilyShare": 0.662,
    "highFrequencyTransitShare": 0.42,
    "feePrePolicy": 50000.0,
    "feePostPolicy": 25000.0,
    "openParcelCountyCoverage": 0.6781609195402298
  },
  "assumptions": {
    "ADU": {
      "low": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.15,
        "annualTakeup": 2.5e-05
      },
      "central": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.3,
        "annualTakeup": 5e-05
      },
      "high": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.5,
        "annualTakeup": 0.0001
      }
    },
    "Missing Middle": {
      "low": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.65,
        "annualActivation": 5e-05,
        "netUnits": 1.5
      },
      "central": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.8,
        "annualActivation": 0.000125,
        "netUnits": 2.0
      },
      "high": {
        "policyGapShare": 0.9,
        "annualActivation": 0.00025,
        "netUnits": 3.0
      }
    },
    "TOD": {
      "low": {
        "zoningBinding": 0.2,
        "capacityUplift": 0.15,
        "realization": 0.2
      },
      "central": {
        "zoningBinding": 0.4,
        "capacityUplift": 0.25,
        "realization": 0.3
      },
      "high": {
        "zoningBinding": 0.6,
        "capacityUplift": 0.4,
        "realization": 0.5
      }
    },
    "Parking": {
      "low": {
        "affectedShare": 0.3,
        "costReliefPerUnit": 500,
        "passRate": 0.01
      },
      "central": {
        "affectedShare": 0.5,
        "costReliefPerUnit": 6000,
        "passRate": 0.04
      },
      "high": {
        "affectedShare": 0.7,
        "costReliefPerUnit": 25000,
        "passRate": 0.08
      }
    },
    "Fees": {
      "low": {
        "thresholdCrossingShare": 0.01
      },
      "central": {
        "thresholdCrossingShare": 0.04
      },
      "high": {
        "thresholdCrossingShare": 0.08
      }
    }
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "all": 42046,
      "one": 32731,
      "twoPlus": 9315
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "all": 41843,
      "one": 32580,
      "twoPlus": 9263
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "all": 36509,
      "one": 29566,
      "twoPlus": 6943
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "all": 26352,
      "one": 20901,
      "twoPlus": 5451
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "all": 17930,
      "one": 14508,
      "twoPlus": 3422
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "all": 11551,
      "one": 8908,
      "twoPlus": 2643
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "all": 9425,
      "one": 7314,
      "twoPlus": 2111
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "all": 9840,
      "one": 7053,
      "twoPlus": 2787
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "all": 8890,
      "one": 6733,
      "twoPlus": 2157
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "all": 16095,
      "one": 9197,
      "twoPlus": 6898
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "all": 17313,
      "one": 11114,
      "twoPlus": 6199
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "all": 16990,
      "one": 10689,
      "twoPlus": 6301
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "all": 19545,
      "one": 10900,
      "twoPlus": 8645
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "all": 21449,
      "one": 12071,
      "twoPlus": 9378
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "all": 21953,
      "one": 13508,
      "twoPlus": 8445
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "all": 25673,
      "one": 13574,
      "twoPlus": 12099
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "all": 28586,
      "one": 13709,
      "twoPlus": 14877
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "all": 28148,
      "one": 14707,
      "twoPlus": 13441
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "all": 33652,
      "one": 16704,
      "twoPlus": 16948
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "all": 31126,
      "one": 13483,
      "twoPlus": 17643
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "all": 25667,
      "one": 12770,
      "twoPlus": 12897
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "all": 20913,
      "one": 13420,
      "twoPlus": 7493
    },
    {
      "year": 2025,
      "all": 20947,
      "one": 12886,
      "twoPlus": 8061
    }
  ],
  "backtest": [
    {
      "lambda": 0.0,
      "mae": 3168.5,
      "rmse": 3734.9,
      "mape": 11.86
    },
    {
      "lambda": 0.1,
      "mae": 3144.3,
      "rmse": 3741.0,
      "mape": 11.85
    },
    {
      "lambda": 0.25,
      "mae": 3285.0,
      "rmse": 3825.3,
      "mape": 12.48
    },
    {
      "lambda": 0.5,
      "mae": 3730.7,
      "rmse": 4148.7,
      "mape": 14.21
    },
    {
      "lambda": 0.75,
      "mae": 4386.5,
      "rmse": 4656.9,
      "mape": 16.62
    },
    {
      "lambda": 1.0,
      "mae": 5042.4,
      "rmse": 5296.9,
      "mape": 19.03
    }
  ],
  "counties": {
    "27001": {
      "county": "Aitkin",
      "fips": "27001",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27003": {
      "county": "Anoka",
      "fips": "27003",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27005": {
      "county": "Becker",
      "fips": "27005",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27007": {
      "county": "Beltrami",
      "fips": "27007",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27009": {
      "county": "Benton",
      "fips": "27009",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27011": {
      "county": "Big Stone",
      "fips": "27011",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27013": {
      "county": "Blue Earth",
      "fips": "27013",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27015": {
      "county": "Brown",
      "fips": "27015",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27017": {
      "county": "Carlton",
      "fips": "27017",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27019": {
      "county": "Carver",
      "fips": "27019",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27021": {
      "county": "Cass",
      "fips": "27021",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27023": {
      "county": "Chippewa",
      "fips": "27023",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27025": {
      "county": "Chisago",
      "fips": "27025",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27027": {
      "county": "Clay",
      "fips": "27027",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27029": {
      "county": "Clearwater",
      "fips": "27029",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27031": {
      "county": "Cook",
      "fips": "27031",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27033": {
      "county": "Cottonwood",
      "fips": "27033",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27035": {
      "county": "Crow Wing",
      "fips": "27035",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27037": {
      "county": "Dakota",
      "fips": "27037",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27039": {
      "county": "Dodge",
      "fips": "27039",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27041": {
      "county": "Douglas",
      "fips": "27041",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27043": {
      "county": "Faribault",
      "fips": "27043",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27045": {
      "county": "Fillmore",
      "fips": "27045",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27047": {
      "county": "Freeborn",
      "fips": "27047",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27049": {
      "county": "Goodhue",
      "fips": "27049",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27051": {
      "county": "Grant",
      "fips": "27051",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27053": {
      "county": "Hennepin",
      "fips": "27053",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27055": {
      "county": "Houston",
      "fips": "27055",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27057": {
      "county": "Hubbard",
      "fips": "27057",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27059": {
      "county": "Isanti",
      "fips": "27059",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27061": {
      "county": "Itasca",
      "fips": "27061",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27063": {
      "county": "Jackson",
      "fips": "27063",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27065": {
      "county": "Kanabec",
      "fips": "27065",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27067": {
      "county": "Kandiyohi",
      "fips": "27067",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27069": {
      "county": "Kittson",
      "fips": "27069",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27071": {
      "county": "Koochiching",
      "fips": "27071",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27073": {
      "county": "Lac qui Parle",
      "fips": "27073",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27075": {
      "county": "Lake",
      "fips": "27075",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27077": {
      "county": "Lake of the Woods",
      "fips": "27077",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27079": {
      "county": "Le Sueur",
      "fips": "27079",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27081": {
      "county": "Lincoln",
      "fips": "27081",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27083": {
      "county": "Lyon",
      "fips": "27083",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27085": {
      "county": "McLeod",
      "fips": "27085",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27087": {
      "county": "Mahnomen",
      "fips": "27087",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27089": {
      "county": "Marshall",
      "fips": "27089",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27091": {
      "county": "Martin",
      "fips": "27091",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27093": {
      "county": "Meeker",
      "fips": "27093",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27095": {
      "county": "Mille Lacs",
      "fips": "27095",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27097": {
      "county": "Morrison",
      "fips": "27097",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27099": {
      "county": "Mower",
      "fips": "27099",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27101": {
      "county": "Murray",
      "fips": "27101",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27103": {
      "county": "Nicollet",
      "fips": "27103",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27105": {
      "county": "Nobles",
      "fips": "27105",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27107": {
      "county": "Norman",
      "fips": "27107",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27109": {
      "county": "Olmsted",
      "fips": "27109",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27111": {
      "county": "Otter Tail",
      "fips": "27111",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27113": {
      "county": "Pennington",
      "fips": "27113",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27115": {
      "county": "Pine",
      "fips": "27115",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27117": {
      "county": "Pipestone",
      "fips": "27117",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27119": {
      "county": "Polk",
      "fips": "27119",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27121": {
      "county": "Pope",
      "fips": "27121",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27123": {
      "county": "Ramsey",
      "fips": "27123",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27125": {
      "county": "Red Lake",
      "fips": "27125",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27127": {
      "county": "Redwood",
      "fips": "27127",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27129": {
      "county": "Renville",
      "fips": "27129",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27131": {
      "county": "Rice",
      "fips": "27131",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27133": {
      "county": "Rock",
      "fips": "27133",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27135": {
      "county": "Roseau",
      "fips": "27135",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27137": {
      "county": "St. Louis",
      "fips": "27137",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27139": {
      "county": "Scott",
      "fips": "27139",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27141": {
      "county": "Sherburne",
      "fips": "27141",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27143": {
      "county": "Sibley",
      "fips": "27143",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27145": {
      "county": "Stearns",
      "fips": "27145",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27147": {
      "county": "Steele",
      "fips": "27147",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27149": {
      "county": "Stevens",
      "fips": "27149",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27151": {
      "county": "Swift",
      "fips": "27151",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27153": {
      "county": "Todd",
      "fips": "27153",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27155": {
      "county": "Traverse",
      "fips": "27155",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27157": {
      "county": "Wabasha",
      "fips": "27157",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27159": {
      "county": "Wadena",
      "fips": "27159",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27161": {
      "county": "Waseca",
      "fips": "27161",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27163": {
      "county": "Washington",
      "fips": "27163",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "Twin Cities metro; parcel + regional permit/policy sources"
    },
    "27165": {
      "county": "Watonwan",
      "fips": "27165",
      "parcelCovered": false,
      "grade": "C",
      "treatment": "Aggregate ACS/BPS fallback; no MnGeo open parcel geometry"
    },
    "27167": {
      "county": "Wilkin",
      "fips": "27167",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27169": {
      "county": "Winona",
      "fips": "27169",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27171": {
      "county": "Wright",
      "fips": "27171",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    },
    "27173": {
      "county": "Yellow Medicine",
      "fips": "27173",
      "parcelCovered": true,
      "grade": "B",
      "treatment": "MnGeo open parcel attributes available"
    }
  }
}